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Why Smart People Are Not Always Rational
NOTE: Most of the content of this post was included in a talk at The Amaz!ng Meeting in 2013 titled “Why Mensa Will Never Eliminate World Hunger”. It is the first of a series of posts on the difference...
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The Logic of Causal Conclusions: How we know that fire burns, fertilizer...
This post was originally published at Drescher’s personal ICBS Everywhere blog on October 1, 2014. I usually cringe when I read a comment by a skeptic arguing that “correlation does not prove...
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More On Why Smart People Are Not Always Rational
This is the second post in a three-part series. Read the first post, “Why Smart People Are Not Always Rational” and the final installment, “Why Smart Doesn’t Guarantee Rational, Part III.” In a...
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What the Empirical Evidence REALLY Says about Rock, Paper, Scissors
(Image by Ani Aharonian with Daniel Loxton.) A popular YouTube channel called Numberphile has published a video in which they claim to have a good strategy for winning at Rock, Paper, Scissors, gleaned...
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Why Smart Doesn’t Guarantee Rational, Part III
This is the third post in a three-part series. Read the previous two installments, “Why Smart People Are Not Always Rational” and “More On Why Smart People Are Not Always Rational.” This post is the...
View ArticleResolving Conflicts in Findings: Vaccine Promotion is Tricky
A few months ago I wrote about the psychology of vaccine denial. In the post I discussed two publications, one of which (Nyhan, et al.) found: Corrective information reduced misperceptions about the...
View ArticleIs It Irrational to Play the Lottery?
With the recent Powerball mania I thought it would be a good time to talk about how to tell a sucker bet from a fair bet, and whether playing the lottery is a rational behavior. Whenever the lottery...
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